Which states are running out of groundwater, a new ranking names 12 and the government confirms 8 down 16.5 feet on average

A 2026 ranking names 12 United States states facing the worst groundwater pressure, and the United States Geological Survey independently confirms the scale behind 8 of them, an average water level decline of 16.5 feet and about 286.4 million acre feet of water held underground lost since about 1950.

16.5 feet2average water level decline across the High Plains aquifer, shared by 8 states, from about 1950 to 2019, the federal government reports
more than 300 feet3water level decline in several Ogallala Aquifer areas over the last 50 to 60 years, the state water agency reports
41%5share of California water supply that comes from groundwater in an average year, up to 60% during drought, the state reports

Which states are running out of groundwater

A ranking published in September 2026 puts real numbers behind a question a lot of people are already asking, which states are running out of groundwater. It names 12 United States states facing the worst groundwater pressure, water stored underground in layers of rock, sand and clay called aquifers and pulled up through wells. Most of the weight in that ranking sits on the High Plains aquifer, which lies under 8 of the 12 named states, Texas, Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Colorado, Nebraska, Wyoming and South Dakota. The government study behind that shared aquifer is real, and its combined figure for all 8 states holds up, an average water level decline of 16.5 feet and a loss of about 286.4 million acre feet of water held underground, from about 1950 to 2019, the United States Geological Survey reports. An acre foot is the amount of water needed to cover 1 acre of land 1 foot deep. That report contains its own breakdown by state, but the breakdown could not be extracted from the government file for this article. So the state figures below come from the ranking that reported them, not from a reading of that table done for this article.

Texas tops the ranking, and its own water agency, the Texas Water Development Board, confirms the scale. It measures water levels down more than 300 feet in several Ogallala Aquifer areas over the last 50 to 60 years, and states that withdrawals exceed recharge, the water nature adds back through rain and snowmelt seeping down, across much of the aquifer. About 95% of everything pumped from the aquifer supports irrigated farmland, the same agency reports.

Average High Plains aquifer water level decline by state, predevelopment to 2019
Texas44.1Kansas27.3Oklahoma20.28New Mexico19.1Colorado14Wyoming0.8Nebraska0.401020304050feet of decline

These 7 figures come from the ranking, which attributes them to a 2024 federal study covering all 8 High Plains states. The internal state by state table inside that study could not be extracted for this article, so the numbers below are attributed to the ranking, not to the federal study directly. South Dakota is left off this chart because its own High Plains trend through 2019 is a gain of 0.5 feet, not a decline.

Source 1.

Show the numbers
Texas44.1
Kansas27.3
Oklahoma20.28
New Mexico19.1
Colorado14
Wyoming0.8
Nebraska0.4

South Dakota is the 1 exception, its share of the aquifer gained 0.5 feet and 0.2 million acre feet in storage through 2019. It lands in the ranking for a different reason, population in the Black Hills area grew 73% from 1980 to 2022, straining a water system built for fewer people, the ranking reports.

Jay Famiglietti, a hydrologist at Arizona State University, put the imbalance in 1 line, as The Queen Zone quotes him saying.

Groundwater is disappearing 2.4 times faster than the surface water.

Jay Famiglietti, hydrologist, Arizona State University, as quoted by The Queen Zone. Source 1.

Groundwater pressure reaches beyond the High Plains

California is not part of the High Plains system at all, yet it depends on groundwater for approximately 41% of its water supply in an average year and up to 60% or more during a drought, its Department of Water Resources reports. The department states that land sinking, most extensive in parts of the Central Valley, occurs as aquifers empty faster than they refill.

The same pattern shows up nationally. The United States Geological Survey reports that groundwater depletion across the country totaled approximately 1,000 cubic kilometers between 1900 and 2008, with the yearly pace nearly tripling by the end of that window, from an average of 9.2 cubic kilometers a year to nearly 25 cubic kilometers a year between 2000 and 2008 alone.

Groundwater level decline in named regions outside the High Plains
02505007501000900ChicagoMilwaukee400Houston200BatonRougefeet of decline

Each figure is the top of the range the United States Geological Survey reports for that area, not a single measured point across the whole named region. The Chicago Milwaukee area decline has continued since 1864 and serves about 8.2 million people today.

Source 4.

Show the numbers
Chicago Milwaukee900
Houston400
Baton Rouge200

For utilities, farmers and regulators in these states, what matters is not the ranking itself but what stands behind it. A federal agency and 2 state agencies each independently confirm the same imbalance, more water is being pulled out of the ground than nature puts back, and the government reports the pace is speeding up, not slowing down.

Sources

  1. 12 States Facing Serious Groundwater Pressure, Ranked by a Combination of Depletion and Emerging Risk. The Queen Zone. Published 2026-09-16. Accessed 2026-09-21.
  2. Water Level and Recoverable Water in Storage Changes, High Plains Aquifer, Predevelopment to 2019 and 2017 to 2019. United States Geological Survey, Scientific Investigations Report 2023 5143. Published 2024-02-13. Accessed 2026-09-21.
  3. Ogallala Aquifer. Texas Water Development Board, Groundwater Division. Accessed 2026-09-21.
  4. Groundwater Decline and Depletion. Water Science School, United States Geological Survey. Accessed 2026-09-21.
  5. Groundwater, water basics page. California Department of Water Resources. Accessed 2026-09-21.

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